N'uhuruchi nke nzukọ FOMC,cryptocurrencyahịa, nke nọ na-arị elu ụbọchị ole na ole gara aga, tụgharịrị agbanwe agbanwe.Mgbe ọ gbagoro na $21,085 na 29th,Bitcoin (BTC)gbadara na $20,237 n'abalị ụnyaahụ, a kọkwara ya na $ 20,568 dị ka oge ngwụcha, ihe fọrọ nke nta ka ọ bụrụ 24 Mmụba elekere elekere bụ 0.52%;ether (ETH)bụ na $1,580, elu 1.56% n'ime awa 24 gara aga.
Fed ga-ekwupụta mkpebi ọmụrụ nwa ya na 2: 00 am Beijing oge na 3rd.Dị ka data si na Fed Watch Tool nke Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), ahịa na-atụ anya ugbu a na Fed ga-ekpebi ibuli ọmụrụ nwa site na 3 yards ruo 3.75% n'izu a.Enwere ohere 87.2% nke mmụba ọnụego 4.00% yana ohere 12.8% nke nrịgo ọnụ ahịa 2-yard na 3.50% ruo 3.75%.
Ihe ọzọ data kwesịrị nlebara anya bụ na United States ga-akpọsa ọnụ ọgụgụ nke ụgwọ ọrụ na-abụghị nke ugbo maka October na 20:30 Beijing oge na 4th.Dị ka FXStreet data, ahịaugbu ana-eme atụmatụ na ọnụ ọgụgụ nke ụgwọ ọrụ na-abụghị nke ugbo ga-abawanye site na 200,000, nke dị ala karịa nke gara aga A na-atụ anya na ọnụ ọgụgụ enweghị ọrụ ga-ebili na 3.6% site na 3.5%.
Azụmahịa US nwere ike ibili nke ukwuu ma ọmụrụ nwa rịgoro yard 2
N'otu oge ahụ, dị ka "Bloomberg" si kwuo, ngalaba azụmahịa nke JPMorgan buru amụma na ọ bụrụ na Fed ekpebi ịkwalite ọmụrụ nwa naanị 2 yards n'izu a, onye isi oche Federal Reserve Jerome Powell (Jerome Powell) kwupụtara njikere ya ịnabata ya na akụkọ mgbasa ozi post-nzukọ. ogbako.Site na ọnụ ahịa dị elu yana ahịa ọrụ siri ike, S&P 500 nwere ike ịgbalite opekata mpe 10% n'otu ụbọchị.
Ndị otu JPMorgan Chase, gụnyere onye nyocha Andrew Tyler, kwuru n'ezoghị ọnụ na ndetu ndị ahịa na Mọnde na ọnọdụ dị otú ahụ ga-abụ "nke kacha nta" mana ọ ga-abụ nsonaazụ "kachasị mma" maka ndị na-etinye ego.N'ime ụbọchị mkpebi isii gara aga, S&P 500 bilitere ugboro anọ wee daa ugboro abụọ.
JPMorgan na-atụ anya na Fed ka ga-ebuli ọnụego site na yad 3 ọzọ n'izu a, n'ikwekọ na amụma etiti nke ndị ọkachamara n'ihe banyere akụ na ụba nke Bloomberg gbara ajụjụ ọnụ, ndị otu Andrew Tyler na-ahụkwa ohere dị ala nke ọnọdụ ndị ọzọ.
Banyere amụma amụma S & P 500, akụkọ ahụ dere, sị: A na-eme ka nsonaazụ ya dị elu, dịka anyị kwenyere na ahịa ahụ nwere ezi ihe mere ị ga-eji nwetaghachi ihe dị ala n'izu gara aga n'ihi ihe na-akụda mmụọ nke nnukwu ngwaahịa teknụzụ, ma na-aga n'ihu na-ebili.Isi okwu nke mkparịta ụka ahụ bụ, na-agbalị ịchọpụta ndị na-ere ahịa na-arịwanye elu, anyị kwenyere na ihe ize ndụ / ụgwọ ọrụ na-adaba na elu.
Nke a bụ amụma otu JPMorgan Chase maka ntụzịaka yiri nke S&P 500 na ụbọchị mkpebi Fed:
● 2-yard ọnụego ịrị elu na post-dovish pịa ogbako: S&P 500 elu 10%-12%
● 2-yard ọnụego ibugo na post-hawk ogbako ogbako: S&P 500 elu 4% ruo 5%
● 3-yard ọnụego ibugo na post-dovish pịa ogbako (nke abụọ yikarịrị): S&P 500 elu 2.5%-3%
● 3-yard ọnụego ibugo na post-hawkish pịa ogbako (yikarịrị): S&P 500 gbadara 1% iji nweta 0.5%
● Mgbago ọnụ ahịa yard 4 na nnọkọ mgbasa ozi post-dovish: S&P 500 gbadara 4% ruo 5%
● Mgbago ọnụ ahịa yard 4 na nnọkọ mgbasa ozi post-hawk: S&P 500 gbadara 6% ruo 8%
Oge nzipu: Nov-11-2022